Texas 2018 Hotlist: The most competitive races in this year’s election

 – Texas Tribune

Between statewide races and those for seats in Congress and the Texas Legislature, there are 215 races on the 2018 Democratic and Republican primary ballots. Which ones are on my short list?

For this highly subjective, recurring list of the most competitive races in Texas, I’ve ranked contests by the threat to each incumbent, to the incumbent party, or just by the level of interest and heat they’re generating. It’s a mix of competitive heat, drama and interest.

Incumbents are noted in the chart, as are changes and adds from the previous week’s list. Here’s a big, fat disclaimer: This is a conversation-starter — not the last word on anything. It doesn’t include contests with mind-bending numbers of candidates (thinking fondly of the 18 Republicans on the ballot in the 21st Congressional District). And it will be revised and adjusted weekly as the March 6 primary approaches.

The color scheme is familiar to anyone familiar with danger signage. Yellow means there’s trouble on the sidewalk. Orange is trouble on the front porch. Red is trouble walking in the door.

Here’s my first list of the 2018 primary season.

Key Competition increased Competition decreased New to Hotlist
hottest
Office
District
Primary
Candidates
Agriculture Commissioner
District

Statewide

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Sid Miller Incumbent
Trey Blocker
Jim Hogan
Senate
District

2

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Bob Hall Incumbent
Cindy Burkett
Senate
District

8

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Phillip Huffines
Angela Paxton
Senate
District

30

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Craig Estes Incumbent
Craig Carter
Pat Fallon
Senate
District

31

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Kel Seliger Incumbent
Mike Canon
Victor Leal
House
District

23

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Wayne Faircloth Incumbent
Mayes Middleton
House
District

46

Primary

Democrat

Candidates
Dawnna Dukes Incumbent
Warren Baker
Sheryl Cole
Ana Cortez
Casey McKinney
Chito Vela
hotter
Office
District
Primary
Candidates
House
District

8

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Cody Harris
Linda Timmerman
Thomas McNutt
House
District

27

Primary

Democrat

Candidates
Ron Reynolds Incumbent
Wilvin Carter
House
District

75

Primary

Democrat

Candidates
Mary Gonzalez Incumbent
MarySue Femath
House
District

99

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Charlie Geren Incumbent
Bo French
House
District

114

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Jason Villalba Incumbent
Lisa Luby Ryan
House
District

116

Primary

Democrat

Candidates
Diana Arévalo Incumbent
Trey Martinez Fischer
House
District

134

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Sarah Davis Incumbent
Susanna Dokupil
hot
Office
District
Primary
Candidates
Land Commissioner
District

Statewide

Primary

Republican

Candidates
George P. Bush Incumbent
Davey Edwards
Jerry Patterson
Rick Range
Senate
District

17

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Joan Huffman Incumbent
Kristin Tassin
House
District

2

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Dan Flynn Incumbent
Bryan Slayton
House
District

6

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Matt Schaefer Incumbent
Ted Kamel
House
District

18

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Ernest Bailes Incumbent
Emily Kebodeaux Cook
House
District

55

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Hugh Shine Incumbent
CJ Grisham
Brandon Hall
House
District

60

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Mike Lang Incumbent
Jim Largent
Gregory Risse
House
District

73

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Kyle Biedermann Incumbent
Dave Campbell
House
District

88

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Ken King Incumbent
Richard Beyea
Jason Huddleston
House
District

98

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Giovanni Capriglione Incumbent
Armin Mizani
House
District

102

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Linda Koop Incumbent
Chad Carnahan
Scott Kilgore
House
District

104

Primary

Democrat

Candidates
Roberto Alonzo Incumbent
Jessica Gonzalez
House
District

122

Primary

Republican

Candidates
Lyle Larson Incumbent
Chris Falls

Disclosure: Trey Blocker and Jerry Patterson have been financial supporters of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune’s journalism. Find a complete list of them here.

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